Nasdaq doch nochmal 1600 ?

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neuester Beitrag: 27.06.01 20:06
eröffnet am: 18.06.01 12:34 von: Dan17 Anzahl Beiträge: 13
neuester Beitrag: 27.06.01 20:06 von: Stox Dude Leser gesamt: 1358
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18.06.01 12:34

1360 Postings, 7438 Tage Dan17Nasdaq doch nochmal 1600 ?

Was meint ihr zu den Spekulationen, aber wer will den jetzt immer noch Aktien verkaufen?, ich glaub da nicht so dran, aber wer weiß.  

18.06.01 12:39

156 Postings, 7517 Tage The@BestNasdaq geht auf - 200 Punkte zurück!

Das ist keine Vermutung. Das ist die Wahrheit.

Ich war heute beim Frisör.


18.06.01 12:44

517 Postings, 7544 Tage fiberopticsHi Dan17, 1600 sind möglich......

Hast Du Dir die Gewinnwarnungen in den USA genauer angeschaut, da waren echte Hämmer dabei.
Mit Gewinnwarnungen hat man ja an sich gerechnet, aber mit solchen wie z.B. Nortel (erwarten steigende Nachfrage nach ihren Produkten erst im 2.Halbjahr 2002 (!!!)) haben nicht einmal die Pessimisten gerechnet.

Wenn jetzt auch noch Microsoft (Gerüchte gibts bereits) und Cisco mit Gewinnwarnungen kommen, dann Halleluja und Amen.

Charttechnisch wären 1600 ein double bottom, vielleicht dann wirklich die Trendumkehr.


18.06.01 12:50

821 Postings, 7775 Tage everhopebei 1600 ist die Abwärtstrendlinie des Downmove

NASDAQ 100-Index  

18.06.01 12:52

1360 Postings, 7438 Tage Dan17Aber

die Nasdaq sieht stabiler aus, als der Neue Markt. Immerhin haben wir die 2000 schon 2 mal getestet  

18.06.01 13:15

821 Postings, 7775 Tage everhopeDan17: Ihr redet aneinander vorbei bzw.

verwechselt den Nasdaq-Composite-Index mit dem Nasdaq-100-Index.

Im Composite wurde die 2000 getestet.

Im Nasdaq-100 wird die 1600 im Abwärtstrendkanal getestet(siehe mein Posting oben):

18.06.01 13:18

1360 Postings, 7438 Tage Dan17Yep hab ich auch gemerkt ist halt Montag sorry ! o.T.

18.06.01 15:18

42578 Postings, 7468 Tage Dr.UdoBroemmeS-K-S-Formation möglich.

Nasdaq bulls saved by the gap
                               'Head and shoulders' gives bears ammo

                     By Tomi Kilgore,
                     Last Update: 12:15 AM ET June 18, 2001


                    NEW YORK (CBS.MW) - A barrage of brutal body shots has brought Nasdaq bulls to the brink
                    of bailing out.

                    In the meantime, a gap in the charts
                    made back in mid-April has given bulls a
                    convenient place to set up camp. But a
                    classic reversal pattern -- the "head and
                    shoulders" -- has given the bears a
                    reason to be optimistic.

                    Meanwhile, Robin Griffiths, chief
                    technical analyst at HSBC Securities, is
                    not overly concerned. He feels the bear
                    market in the Nasdaq Composite ended
                    on cue on April 4, as part of a 14-month
                    cycle, and recent gyrations are what
                    can be expected after such a steep

                    Where's the recovery?

                    Having companies warn of shortfalls is
                    expected during the so-called warnings
                    season. But the magnitude of the
                    expected misses and the cost-cutting
                    measures that are being taken,
                    especially among some high-tech
                    heavyweights (see Nortel and JDS
                    Uniphase stories), are taking their toll
                    on the fragile psyche of investors. So
                    much so that the market is now
                    interpreting weak economic data to
                    mean that a second-half recovery may
                    not materialize, instead of as a sign that
                    more rate cuts would coming to the

                    As a result, the Nasdaq ($COMPQ: news, msgs, alerts) has carved out a rather bearish pattern.

                    Head and shoulders chips away at uptrend

                    The "head-and-shoulders" pattern consists of three peaks, with the first and third peaks roughly of
                    equal height, and with the second one the highest. A "neckline" is line of support formed by the dips
                    between the three peaks, which are typically at about the same depth.

                    The Nasdaq took a little breather from a sharp one-month rally after reaching a high of 2,232.66 on
                    May 2, creating the first shoulder. Refreshed after dipping to a low of 2,052.41 on May 14 (nearly
                    equaled on May 16 at 2,057.99), bulls stretched ahead and were successful in claiming higher
                    ground. The May 22 high of 2,328.05 became the top of the "head."

                    So far, so good. Not only did the higher high show the bulls that hard work would pay off, the timing
                    of the move gave them guidance as to what slope their upward ascent would take.

                    The retrenchment and subsequent bounce, however, was alarming in two ways.

                    Second dip breaks a trend

                                         Take out a ruler and line up the April 4 low of 1,619.58 with the May 16
                                         low. Extending the line gave bulls an indication of where they would find
                                         support in halting the bears' next counterattack. When the slide off the
                                         top of the 'head' stopped at 2,170.58 (on May 29), it forged a third point
                                         on the "trendline," and gave bulls an idea of the pace at which to
                                         proceed. The bulls' newfound confidence proved fleeting, however, as
                                         bears overran them on the very next day.

                                         Dazed and confused, bulls quickly looked to the most recent lows for an
                                         area to take a stand. It worked, and the Nasdaq bounced off the May 30
                    low of 2,077.98, which was about equal to the May 14 and May 16 low. Little did they know what
                    they were creating was an even more ominous reversal pattern.

                    After a trendline is broken, you typically see a period of consolidation where the market will attempt
                    to reestablish the old trend. If the break is true, the old trendline will act as resistance (or support).

                    Broken trendline stops bulls cold at second shoulder

                    The rally off the second dip made it as high as 2,269.58 on June 7 (and 2,263.75 on June 8), close to
                    the high made back on May 2. But the failure to make a new high suggested the bulls' strength had
                    been sapped.

                    The rally also failed to reclaim the old trend, and instead marked points on what has become a
                    resistance line. Bears took advantage of the opportunity and, as of last Friday, drove the Nasdaq
                    down for six consecutive sessions.

                    Draw a line connecting the lows of the first (May 14's 2,052.41) and second (May 30's 2,077.98) dips
                    to see where the 'neckline' is. The Nasdaq opened (at 2,100.74) below that line last Thursday,
                    confirming the "head-and-shoulders" pattern. Bears maintained control that entire session, a and a
                    close (2,044.07) right at the low (2,043.36) shows how bears maintained control the entire session.

                    Scrambling for help, bulls turned to a "gap" in the charts made back on April 18.

                    Saved by the gap

                    "Gaps" are made when a day's low (or high) does not overlap the previous day's high (or low). Upside
                    gaps are viewed as supports when revisited because bears that sold ahead of them will be happy to
                    break even given a second chance. And the entire blank area will remain support until it is completely
                    filled on a closing basis.

                    Friday's fall stopped (at a low of 1,992.39) within the opening between the April 18 low (1,995.91) and
                    the April 17 high (1,941.57). Until the bears can get the Nasdaq to close below 1,941.57, bulls will
                    still have hope.

                                                  The next level of support is between 1,868 and 1,890. The
                                                  bottom end of that band is defined by near-identical lows on
                                                  April 12 (1,868.76) and April 17 (1,869.34), which
                                                  coincidentally was within the gap between the April 11 low
                                                  (1,884.95) and the April 10 high (1,868.10).

                                                  The top part of the support band is the 61.8-percent
                                                  retracement of the rally off the April 4 low (1,619.58) and
                                                  the May 22 high (2,328.05). An ancient Italian
                                                  mathematician wrote about a numerical ratio (0.618) that he
                                                  discovered to be prevalent in natural systems, including the
                    breeding pattern of rabbits and the spiral of a snail's shell. Chart watchers believe that the market is
                    also a natural system, and therefore if a pullback falls short of this 'golden ratio,' the original move
                    remains intact. Bulls will undoubtedly fight hard to defend this level, because a failure would suggest
                    a return to 1,619.58.

                    2,100 or bust

                    If the gap gives the bulls the ammunition they need for a counterattack, initial resistance can be
                    expected at just above the 2,100 level. That's where the "neckline" comes in, and is also the bottom
                    of a downward gap between last Thursday's high and Wednesday low (2,121.38).

                    After that, the June 6 high (2,269.58), which was nearly matched on June 8 (2,263.75), will be wear
                    bears draw the line.

                    Griffiths believes this scenario is more likely. He is one technical analyst that feels the
                    head-and-shoulders pattern is not a totally reliable pattern. The fact that they are so well known by
                    chart watchers and traders alike means they have been anticipated, and may dampen the negative
                    effects. Instead, Griffiths believes the end of the bear market will eventually take the Nasdaq up to
                    2,700, and possibly up to 3,000, before a real correction takes hold.

Gruß Dr. Broemme

18.06.01 15:29

3006 Postings, 7614 Tage patznjeschniki@Dr.UdoBroemme und alle anderen:

S-K-S ist bereits vollendet. Bei Nasdaq wie Nasdaq100 das gleiche Bild,

dazu meine Analyse:


19.06.01 12:37

3263 Postings, 8132 Tage DixieAus dem wo:Board von germanasti

19.06.01 14:16

20520 Postings, 7614 Tage Stox DudeSonnenoel schon rausgeholt?

Nach 7 Tagen Regen wird wieder die Sonne an der Nasdaq scheinen.
Gestern waren die Kurse so attraktiv, man musste einfach kaufen.

ARBA $3,90
CMRC $3.40
NOK  $22.20
ERICY$ 5.10
TFSM $ 0.31
SSTI $ 8.10
ORCL $14.70

Mal sehen wie die o.g. heute performen  

19.06.01 14:32

2176 Postings, 7914 Tage CrashPantherEr wird sich wahrscheinlich in einem Kanal

zwischen 2000 und 2300 Punkten bewegen.
Das ist aber schon sehr optimistisch, denn
es kann durchaus noch zu Kursrückschlägen

Aber immerhin steht der NASDAQ besser da,
als der Neue Markt, denn der verkommt
langsam aber sicher zur Spielwiese der Zocker.

Good trades


27.06.01 20:06

20520 Postings, 7614 Tage Stox DudeSonnenoel hatte geholfen

Stand 19/06/01       28/06/01

ARBA $3,90           $  5,06
CMRC $3.40           $  3,69
NOK  $22.20          $ 21,81
ERICY$ 5.10          $  5,17
TFSM $ 0.31          $  0,35
SSTI $ 8.10          $  8,69
ORCL $14.70          $ 18,15


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