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10739 Postings, 8124 Tage Al BundyFalls Ihr die RAMBUS Q-Zahlen noch nicht kennt:

August 09, 2000

RAMBUS INC (RMBS)
Quarterly Report (SEC form 10-Q)
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

General

The forward-looking statements contained in this discussion and analysis involve risks and uncertainties which could cause future actual results to differ materially. Such risks include market acceptance of the Company's technology; systems companies' acceptance of Rambus ICs produced by the Company's licensees; market acceptance of the products of systems companies which have adopted the Company's technology; delays, lack of cost- competitiveness or other problems in the introduction or performance of Rambus ICs or products which include Rambus ICs including, but not limited to, RDRAMs, Intel Rambus-based chipsets and the Sony PlayStation2; future dependence upon the PC main memory market and Intel; the loss of any strategic relationships with systems companies or licensees; announcements or introductions of new technologies or products by the Company or the Company's competitors; delays, lack of cost-competitiveness or other problems in the introduction or performance of enhancements or future generations of the Company's current technology or new products; fluctuations in the market price and demand for DRAMs and logic ICs into which the Company's technology has been incorporated; competitive pressures resulting in lower contract revenues or royalty rates; changes in the Company's, licensees' and system companies' development and product introduction schedules and levels of expenditure on research and development and marketing; personnel changes, particularly those involving engineering and technical personnel; costs associated with protecting the Company's intellectual property; changes in Company strategies; foreign exchange rate fluctuations or other changes in the international business climate; and general economic trends. A more detailed discussion of risks faced by the Company is set forth in the Company's 1999 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC.

Results of Operations

The following table sets forth, for the periods indicated, the percentage of total revenues represented by certain items reflected in the Company's consolidated condensed statements of operations and the percentage change of such items between periods:



                                                  Percent of Total Revenues,         Percent
                                                      Three Months Ended             Change
                                                           June 30,                  2000 v.
                                                    ---------------------      
                                                    2000             1999             1999
                                                    ----             ----             ----
Revenues:
 Contract revenues..............................   63.0%            83.1%             26.7%
 Royalties......................................   37.0             16.9             264.8
                                                  -----            -----
    Total revenues..............................  100.0%           100.0%             67.0%
                                                  =====            =====
Costs and expenses:
 Cost of contract revenues......................   16.4             37.1             (26.3)
 Research and development.......................   15.9             10.5             154.5
 Marketing, general and administrative..........   34.9             33.1              76.3
                                                  -----            -----
    Total costs and expenses....................   67.2             80.7              39.3
                                                  -----            -----
Operating income.................................   32.8             19.3             182.9
Other income, net................................    7.2              8.5              44.0
                                                  -----            -----
Income before income taxes.......................   40.0             27.8             140.6
Provision for income taxes.......................   14.0              9.0             160.6
                                                  -----            -----
Net income.......................................   26.0%            18.8%            131.1%
                                                  =====            =====


                                                  Percent of Total Revenues,         Percent
                                                      Nine Months Ended              Change
                                                           June 30,                  2000 v.
                                                    ---------------------
                                                    2000             1999             1999
                                                    ----             ----             ----
Revenues:
 Contract revenues..............................    72.0%            79.6%            32.2%
 Royalties......................................    28.0             20.4            100.4
                                                 -------           ------
    Total revenues..............................   100.0%           100.0%            46.2%
                                                 =======           ======
Costs and Expenses:
 Cost of contract revenues......................    20.8             27.4             10.9
 Research and development.......................    17.5             21.6             18.7
 Marketing, general and administrative..........    32.3             31.5             49.9

Employee stock-related compensation
            expense.............................   376.9               --                *
                                                 -------           ------
    Total costs and expenses....................   447.5             80.5                *
                                                 -------           ------
Operating income (loss)..........................  (347.5)            19.5                *
Other income, net................................     7.6             11.5             (3.1)
                                                 -------           ------
Income (loss) before income taxes................  (339.9)            31.0                *
Provision for income taxes.......................    12.0             11.5             53.3
                                                 -------           ------
Net income (loss)................................  (351.9)%           19.5%               *%
                                                 =======           ======
___________________
* Not meaningful

Revenues. Total revenues for the three and nine months ended June 30, 2000 increased 67.0% and 46.2% to $17.8 million and $45.4 million, respectively, over the comparable three- and nine-month periods in the previous year. Contract revenues increased 26.7% to $11.2 million (63.0% of total revenues) and 32.2% to $32.7 million (72.0% of total revenues) in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, respectively, over the comparable periods of fiscal 1999. The majority of the increase in contract revenues during the third quarter represents recognition of the remaining revenue on contracts for which all remaining obligations were terminated by mutual consent due to the licensees' withdrawal from the commodity DRAM market. Such a termination results in the cancellation of all obligations on RDRAM development for both parties. Since all license and engineering payments already received are nonrefundable, the balance of deferred revenue on these contracts was recognized upon termination in the third quarter. Also contributing to the revenue increase for the first nine months of fiscal 2000 was a change in management's estimate of certain contract revenue recognition periods, which occurred in the fourth quarter of fiscal 1999. Such periods are initially estimated based upon management's judgment of the time over which the Company has an obligation to support its licensees. As the new generation of Rambus technology went into production late in fiscal 1999, a more accurate estimate of the remaining support period could be made. To the extent the new estimated periods were less than the original estimates, the amount of deferred revenue recognized in the first nine months of fiscal 2000 was greater than in the comparable period of fiscal 1999. This increase was partially offset by the ending of revenue recognition on contracts for which the contract period had expired, including the Texas Instruments ("TI") DRAM contract. Each of the four quarters of fiscal 1999 included approximately $900,000 of contract revenue from the TI DRAM contract. This revenue was recognized on an accelerated basis due to the sale of TI's DRAM business to Micron and was fully recognized by the end of fiscal 1999.
The Company anticipates continuing to book additional contracts, especially contracts with existing licensees for newer versions of Rambus technology. However, it is anticipated that contract


revenues will decline over time as the value of contracts for which the revenue recognition periods have expired exceeds the value of new contracts. The Company's past success in signing licensees has reduced the number of potential new licensees, which also contributes to the anticipated decline in contract revenues.

Royalties in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000 increased 264.8% to $6.6 million (37.0% of total revenues) and 100.4% to $12.7 million (28.0% of total revenues), respectively, from the comparable periods of fiscal 1999. The Company believes that much of its royalty revenue in each of these fiscal 2000 periods resulted from shipments of Rambus ICs into the Sony PlayStation2 market and, to a lesser extent, shipments of previous-generation Rambus ICs for the Nintendo64 systems. In the third quarter of fiscal 2000, the Company recognized the first significant royalties from the shipment of Rambus ICs for use in desktop PCs and workstations.

Because of the use of its technology in these new markets, the Company believes that royalties from Rambus ICs will become an increasing portion of its revenues in the future. To date, a majority of the Company's royalties has been derived from the sale of logic ICs incorporating Rambus ASIC cells (RACs) for use in game consoles. If the Company is successful in its strategy to penetrate the PC main memory market segment, the Company expects that royalties from the sale of RDRAMs will eventually account for the largest portion of royalties from Rambus ICs, since a PC generally uses many more RDRAMs than does a game console. The Company's royalty revenue is largely a function of the adoption of Rambus technology by systems companies and the acceptance of the systems companies' products by end users. The markets addressed by systems companies using Rambus ICs, including those in the game console and PC businesses, are characterized by extreme volatility, frequent new product introductions and rapidly shifting consumer preferences, and there can be no assurance as to the unit volumes of Rambus ICs that will be purchased in the future or the level of royalty-bearing revenues that the Company will receive due to these applications. None of the systems companies currently incorporating Rambus interface technology into their products is contractually obligated to continue using Rambus ICs. Given the concentration of royalties from a limited number of sources, it is likely that royalties will continue to vary greatly from quarter to quarter.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2000, the Company signed its first contracts covering use of its patents for non-Rambus-compatible products: SDRAMs, DDR SDRAMs and logic products which directly control these memories. No revenue from these contracts is included in the results reported for the third quarter, but the Company expects to begin reporting revenue from these contracts next quarter.

As of June 30, 2000, the Company had 29 active licensees compared to 30 such licensees at June 30, 1999. Because all of the Company's revenues are derived from its relatively small number of licensees, revenues tend to be highly concentrated. In the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, the Company's top five licensees accounted for 62% and 48% of total revenues, respectively. In the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, Toshiba accounted for 19% and 11% of total revenues, Fujitsu for 16% and 8%, Samsung for 13% and 6%, NEC for 4% and 10%, and Matsushita for 1% and 13%, respectively. The Company expects that it will continue to experience significant revenue concentration for the foreseeable future. However, the particular licensees which account for revenue concentration may vary from period to period depending on the addition of new contracts, the expiration of deferred revenue schedules under existing contracts, and the volumes and prices at which the licensees sell Rambus ICs to systems companies in any given period.


To date, companies based in Japan, Korea and Taiwan have accounted for most of the Company's revenues, and for the substantial majority of its international revenues. In the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, international revenues comprised 81% and 77% of total revenues, respectively. The Company expects that revenues derived from international licensees will continue to represent a significant portion of its total revenues in the future. All of the revenues from international licensees to date have been denominated in United States dollars.

In a few cases, the Company has received nonrefundable, prepaid royalties which offset the earliest royalty payments otherwise due from the licensee. As of June 30, 2000, $6.1 million of such nonrefundable, prepaid royalties had offset initial royalties, and the Company had a balance of $200,000 remaining to be offset against future royalties.

Substantially all of the license fees, engineering service fees and nonrefundable, prepaid royalties are bundled together as contract fees because the Company generally does not provide or price these components separately. The contracts also generally include rights to upgrades and enhancements. Accordingly, Rambus recognizes contract revenues ratably over the period during which post-contract customer support is expected to be provided. The excess of contract fees received over contract revenue recognized is shown on the Company's balance sheet as deferred revenue. As of June 30, 2000, the Company's deferred revenue was $31.3 million, substantially all of which is scheduled to be recognized in varying amounts over the next four years.

Engineering Costs. Engineering costs, consisting of cost of contract revenues and research and development expenses, increased 13.5% to $5.7 million (32.3% of total revenue) and 14.3% to $17.4 million (38.3% of total revenue) in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, respectively, over the comparable periods of fiscal 1999. The increase is primarily attributable to engineering personnel added to support the launch of Rambus technology into the PC main memory market, the Company's announced technology roadmap improvements, and new initiatives in the communications market and chip-to-chip connections.

Cost of Contract Revenues. Cost of contract revenues as a percentage of total revenues decreased to 16.4% in the third quarter of fiscal 2000 from 37.1% in the comparable period of fiscal 1999, and decreased to 20.8% in the first nine months of fiscal 2000 from 27.4% in the comparable period of fiscal 1999. The decrease in cost of contract revenues as a percentage of total revenues in the fiscal 2000 periods was related to a reduction in the engineering effort required to support the launch and ramp of Rambus technology into the PC main memory market as well as to the effect of the increase in the Company's revenues. The Company believes that the level of cost of contract revenues will fluctuate in the future, both in absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenues, as new generations of Rambus ICs go through the normal development and implementation phases.

Research and Development. Research and development expenses as a percentage of total revenues increased to 15.9% in the third quarter of fiscal 2000 from 10.5% in the comparable period of fiscal 1999 as the Company was able to shift engineering resources from support of the ramp into the PC market to development of technology roadmap improvements as well as new chip connection activities. For the first nine months of fiscal 2000, research and development expenses as a percentage of total revenues decreased to 17.5% from 21.6% in the comparable period of fiscal 1999, primarily due to the increase in the Company's revenues. Research and development expenses include approximately $209,000 and $582,000 of acquisition-related costs in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, respectively. These acquisition costs relate to the Company's November 1999 purchase of a small company which was developing a SerDes cell for network


applications. The acquisition was accounted for as a purchase, which resulted in goodwill and deferred compensation costs that are being amortized over periods ranging from 2 to 5 years. The Company expects research and development expenses to increase over time as it enhances and improves its technology and applies it to new generations of ICs. The rate of increase of, and the percentage of revenues represented by, research and development expenses in the future will vary from period to period based on the research and development projects underway and the change in engineering headcount in any given period, as well as the rate of change in the Company's total revenues.

Marketing, General and Administrative. Marketing, general and administrative expenses increased 76.3% to $6.2 million and 49.9% to $14.7 million in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, respectively, from the comparable periods of fiscal 1999. The increase is primarily due to the addition of administrative personnel to support legal enforcement of the Company's patents and other intellectual property rights, increased legal fees related to patent infringement actions against Hitachi, which were settled during the quarter, and costs related to the Company's 10th anniversary celebration. Marketing, general and administrative expenses represent 34.9% and 32.3% of total revenues for the three and nine months ended June 30, 2000, respectively, compared with 33.1% and 31.5% in the same periods of fiscal 1999. The percentage of total revenues was relatively flat from the fiscal 1999 periods to the fiscal 2000 periods due to offsetting increases in marketing, general and administrative expenses and in revenues. The Company expects marketing, general and administrative expenses to increase in the future as the Company focuses additional resources upon marketing its technology, assisting systems companies with adapting this technology to new generations of products, and protecting its intellectual property rights through legal activities. The rate of increase of, and the percentage of revenues represented by, marketing, general and administrative expenses in the future will vary from period to period based on the trade shows, advertising, legal and other marketing and administrative activities undertaken and the change in sales, marketing and administrative headcount in any given period, as well as the rate of change in the Company's total revenues.

Employee Stock-Related Compensation Expense. As discussed below in the section entitled "Contingent Warrants, Common Stock Equivalents, and Options," a $171.1 million employee stock-related compensation charge was taken in the second quarter of fiscal 2000 related to Common Stock Equivalents (CSEs) granted to the Company's Chief Executive Officer and President and options granted to the Company's employees.

Other Income, Net. Other income, net consists primarily of interest income from the Company's short-term cash investments. Other income, net increased to $1.3 million (7.2% of total revenues) in the third quarter of fiscal 2000 from $0.9 million (8.5% of total revenues) in the comparable period of fiscal 1999 due to higher interest rates. In the first nine months of fiscal 2000, other income decreased slightly to $3.5 million (7.6% of total revenues) from $3.6 million (11.5% of total revenues) in the comparable period of fiscal 1999 primarily due to a nonrecurring gain on the sale of a security in the fiscal 1999 period, which was almost entirely offset by the effect of higher interest rates in the fiscal 2000 period.

Provision for Income Taxes. The Company recorded a provision for income taxes of $2.5 million and $5.5 million in the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2000, respectively, compared to a provision of $1.0 million and $3.6 million in the comparable periods of fiscal 1999, respectively. The estimated federal and state combined rates on pretax income, excluding non-cash employee stock-related compensation expense, for the first nine months of fiscal 2000 and fiscal 1999 were


35% and 37%, respectively. The Company's effective tax rate differs from the statutory rate due to the valuation allowance impact of timing differences related to the recognition of contract revenues for tax and financial reporting purposes.

Common Stock Split

In March 2000, the Company's board of directors approved a four-for-one split of Rambus' common stock, subject to stockholder approval of an increase in authorized common stock. On May 23, 2000, the Company's stockholders approved an increase in the Company's authorized shares of common stock to 500 million shares. The stock began trading on a split-adjusted basis on June 15, 2000. All references in this Form 10-Q to earnings per share, the number of common shares, contingent warrants, common stock equivalents, and options, and the share price have been retroactively restated to reflect the common stock split and the increase in authorized common stock.

Contingent Warrants, Common Stock Equivalents, and Options

In January 1997, the Company granted a warrant to Intel Corporation for the purchase of 4,000,000 shares of Rambus common stock (the "Intel warrant") at an exercise price of $2.50 per share. The warrant will become exercisable only upon the achievement of certain milestones by Intel relating to shipment volumes of Rambus-based chipsets (the "Intel milestones"). The warrant will expire no later than the eighth (8th) anniversary of its issuance. At the time that achievement of the milestones becomes probable, a non-cash charge will be made to the statement of operations based on the fair value of the warrant.

In October 1998, the Company's Board of Directors authorized an incentive program in the form of warrants on a total of up to 1,600,000 shares of Rambus common stock (the "DRAM incentive warrants") to be issued to various Rambus Direct DRAM partners upon the achievement of certain product qualification and volume production targets. The warrants, to be issued at the time the targets are met, will have an exercise price of $2.50 per share and a life of five years. They will vest and become exercisable on the same basis as the Intel warrant, which will result in a non-cash charge to the statement of operations based on the fair value of the warrants at the time the achievement of the Intel milestones becomes probable. As of June 30, 2000, a total of 760,000 of these warrants had been issued.

In the fourth quarter of fiscal 1999, the Company granted to its Chief Executive Officer and to its President a combined total of 2,000,000 Common Stock Equivalents (CSEs) and to its employees approximately 2,160,000 options to purchase Rambus common stock for $2.50 per share. Vesting of these CSEs and options was contingent upon the achievement of key indicators of success for Rambus. Vesting for a portion of these CSEs and options was contingent on an increase in the price of Rambus common stock to greater than $50 per share for 30 consecutive days. This target was achieved by the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2000, and resulted in a $171.1 million employee stock-related compensation charge taken in the same quarter. Except for a $1.2 million employer payroll tax liability, this was a non-cash charge. The remaining CSEs and options will vest on the same basis as the Intel and DRAM incentive warrants, which will result in another almost entirely non-cash charge to the statement of operations based on the fair value of the CSEs and options at the time achievement of the Intel milestones becomes probable.

The magnitude of these charges is a function of the current price of Rambus common stock at the time the charges are taken. For example, if these warrants, CSEs, and options were valued based upon a stock price of $100, the charge could be $800 million or more. The charge, when and if taken, will be non-cash except for payroll tax liabilities, which would likely be more than offset by cash received by the Company upon exercise of the warrants and options.


Liquidity and Capital Resources

As of June 30, 2000, the Company had cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities of $96.9 million, including restricted cash of $2.5 million and a long-term marketable securities component of $4.0 million. As of the same date, the Company had total working capital of $73.0 million, including a short-term component of deferred revenue of $22.4 million. Deferred revenue represents the excess of cash received from licensees over revenue recognized on license contracts, and the short-term component represents the amount of this deferred revenue the Company expects to recognize over the next twelve months. Without the short-term component of deferred revenue, working capital would have been $95.4 million as of June 30, 2000.

The Company's operating activities used net cash of $810,000 in the first nine months of fiscal 2000 compared to net cash provided of $3.1 million in the comparable period of fiscal 1999. In the fiscal 2000 period, net cash used by operating activities consisted mainly of a decrease in deferred revenue and an increase in accounts receivable offset by the net loss adjusted for non-cash items, and adjustments relating to income taxes. The decrease in deferred revenue represents contract revenues recognized in the period in excess of new contract billings.

The Company's investing activities provided net cash of $6.0 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2000 compared to net cash used of $22.5 million in the comparable period of fiscal 1999. Net cash provided by investing activities in the fiscal 2000 period consisted of net maturities of marketable securities, offset by costs of acquired technology rights and investments and purchases of property and equipment.

Net cash provided by financing activities was $8.1 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2000 compared to $3.4 million in the comparable period of fiscal 1999. The primary source of net cash provided by financing activities was sales of the Company's common stock pursuant to employee stock plans.

The Company presently anticipates that existing cash balances will be adequate to meet its cash needs for at least the next 12 months.


Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

The Company's exposure to market risk for changes in interest rates relates primarily to its investment portfolio. The Company places its investments with high credit issuers and by policy limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issuer. As stated in its policy, the Company will ensure the safety and preservation of its invested funds by limiting default risk and market risk. The Company has no investments denominated in foreign country currencies and therefore is not subject to foreign exchange risk.

The Company mitigates default risk by investing in high credit quality securities and by positioning its portfolio to respond appropriately to a significant reduction in a credit rating of any investment issuer or guarantor. The portfolio includes only marketable securities with active secondary or resale markets to ensure portfolio liquidity.

The table below presents the carrying value and related weighted average interest rates for the Company's investment portfolio. The carrying value approximates fair value at June 30, 2000.


                                                                               Average Rate
                                                                               of Return at
                                                              Carrying           June 30,
                                                               Value               2000
                                                           (in thousands)      (annualized)
 Investment portfolio:
 --------------------
 Cash equivalents.......................................       $23,262              6.6%            
 Corporate notes and bonds..............................        13,419              6.5%            
 Municipal notes and bonds..............................        16,183              3.5%            
 United States government debt securities...............        36,526              6.3%            
                                                               -------                              

    Total investment portfolio..........................       $89,390                              
                                                               =======                              




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11.08.00 18:21

311 Postings, 7789 Tage jokerDanke, war mir total entfallen,

also hast du mich daran indirekt erinnert.

Ich habe es gerade ausgedruckt und werde es jetzt mal in Ruhe durchlesen.
Was ist deine Meinung zu den Zahlen?

dankbarer
Joker  

11.08.00 18:31

10739 Postings, 8124 Tage Al BundyDa die neuen Lizenznehmer

erst im nächsten Quartal Ergebniswirksam werden, sind die Zahlen leicht unter den geschätzten Erwartungen. Nichts desto trotz langfristig sehr aussichtsreich, ich hoffe, daß ich nochmal günstig aufstocken kann.
Ab nächstem Quartal dürfte das Wachstum 3 stellig sein.

Al grüßt  

11.08.00 18:45

311 Postings, 7789 Tage jokerWie weit glaubst du geht der Kurs runter?

Ich bin bei 78 eingestiegen nachdem ich den Wert schon seit einigen Wochen verfolge (da war er noch über 100). Falls die Zahlen die Erwartungen nicht erreicht hat würde der Kurs noch etwas mehr bröckeln als nur das was wir heute sehen. Falls die 75 euro fallen sollten hätte der Kurs noch bis 65 platz zu fallen. Somit würde sich für mich ein Ausstieg bei jetzigem Kurs noch lohnen.

Al, seit wann bist du dabei und zu welchem Kurs.

Joker  

11.08.00 19:06

10739 Postings, 8124 Tage Al BundyIch bin seit 27.01.2000 dabei

und mein Kaufkurs betrug 79,50? (vor Split 1:4).
Meine Aufwärtstrendlinie im Chart verläuft bei ca 60 ?. Da werde ich nachkaufen.  Widerstand bei 75 ist relativ schwach ausgebildet, könnte aber halten. Kommt auch auf das Marktumfeld an (Dell).  


Al grüßt

P.S.: Noch was zu Deiner Frage zu meinen Sternen:
Klick auf meinen Namen und öffne den Thread. Wer mir die Sterne gegeben hat weiß ich nicht, ist auch nicht relevant.

 

11.08.00 19:13

311 Postings, 7789 Tage jokerAlles klar

mit dem Thread. Als ich damals auf deiner Seite geschaut habe war nichts da. Deshalb hab ich mich gewundert.

Übrigens, die Top 10 sind echt gut.

joker grüsst zurück  

15.08.00 22:04

311 Postings, 7789 Tage jokerNa bitte, Widerstand hat gehalten. o.T.

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